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09 May 2023, Volume 38 Issue 3
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Abstract
In this paper, we proposed a simple mathematical model for farmers in the Ranchi district to adopt and implement agricultural technologies. We used the Fisher-Pry model, which is a very effective model in the study of technological adoption. The model's output is a Sigmoid curve, or S-shaped curve, that develops exponentially at first, then approximately linearly, and lastly asymptotically. We have studied the models of technology spread using a basic case study and brought in a real-world situation. Mathematically, it is possible to predict that adoption will rise to the number m/2 implies when 50% of the farmers have adopted the technology, after which it will slow down. In a real-life situation, the point of inflection might occur before or after m/2.
We also collected data on some of the food crops of Ranchi district from 2011 to 2017, as well as rainfall for each year, and evaluated it graphically/mathematically. In comparison to the other years in the research, we found that rainfall was lower in 2015-2016. As a result, production per unit area fell. If the farmers in Ranchi had employed the available irrigation technology, this crisis would not have arisen.
Keyword
Agriculture, Technology, Adoption, Mathematical Modeling.
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